free bets, bonuses, Betfair trading Safebets

Like any other game run by casino or bookmaker, sports-betting has built-in disadvantage for the punter and mathematical advantage for bookmaker. House edge exists in roulette, blackjack, craps. It is in sports-betting as well.

If someone offered you 5.00 odds for throwing the dice an exact number , would you accept this rule? It is easy to count that. In the long term, you will hit “your” number once in six tries. Thus, your expectation is 1/6 * 5.00 = 0.83 You are destined to lose 17 cents on every dollar you bet. Throwing a dice 1000 times and betting $1 on each toss, you will most likely win 166 times (it is 1/6 of 1000) so you will win 166*5.0 = 830 what makes you lose $170. The same rules apply in a world of sports-betting.

Lets look at a game between Real Madrid and Valencia. Bookmakers expect that public opinion will spread in a perfect way. They predict that half of all the money wagered on this match will be on “over 2.5 goals” bet and the other half will be staked on “under 2.5”. Knowing this fact (they can never be sure but most likely are very close in their estimations) they should set the odds in a way which allow them to grab an equal profit regardless the final result of this match. How to do it?

They set fair odds which are equal to 50% / 50 % distribution. The common formula is “100 / expectation” , so it is 100 / 50 = 2 . Odds 2.00 / 2.00 are called fair odds. The overound has not been applied yet - in this case both a punter and bookmaker would finish with zero net profit if money was distributed as expected (50/50).

Having fair odds they must decide how big margin they need. It varies throughout betting companies reaching as low as 2% to as high as 45% . Generally, there are some information which are worth remembering:

The more outcomes in any event, the bigger overound is to be applied. The best payable from punter’s point of view are 2-way bets, like Tennis matches, Under/Over in Football or Asian handicaps. There you can grab even 1.98 / 1.98 offers in major European leagues. In this case, a bookmaker earns as little as one dollar from every $100 wagered!
The worst for a punter are special and outright bets. It would not be a bad piece of advice to suggest avoiding this kind of outcomes at all. Forget about “First scorer”, “To Win Premiership” , “Exact Scores” kind of bets. I know that some time odds on 1-0 correct score around 5.50 might look a bit tempting but, believe me – it is horrible difficult to beat 45% overound in a long term.
The bigger prestige of any league, the lower overound applied. It is well known that 1x2 fixed market on English Premiership, Spanish La Liga and other major leagues varies in 8%-9% range while games on English Division Three have as big as 12% overound. It is an easy explanation: a competition. The more exotic division is, the less number of bookmakers offer odds on this. They must find a way to compensate it so they set up the bigger margins.
By betting more than one pick on a coupon increase the overound.

Looking back at our example of a match between Real and Valencia, a bookmaker decides to earn 5% from this outcome. He offers 1.90 on “over 2.5” and 1.90 on “under 2.50” . If his predictions were right, he will have $2000 wagered on “over” and $2000 on “under” , which is 50/50 distribution of all $4000 staked.

No matter, how the game finishes, he will have to pay one of the sides $2000*1.90 = $3800 cashing-in $4000, what would bring him $200 net profit (notice that $200 is 5% of $4000).

Wanting to earn 10% he would have to set 1.80 / 1.80 odds. Nowadays, the market is so saturated and competitive that you will easily find 1.92 / 1.92 (4% house edge) on any event 2-way event.

If odds have built-in house edge, how to beat the bookie? The numbers are not fixed as in craps or roulette. This distribution 50/50 it is only a prediction made by a human like you and me. If you are capable of spotting his mistakes, you are on a good way to be on plus in a long term.

There are all the possible outcomes in a match between Manchester City and Aston Villa in a range of only one bookmaker. The game was played 31.10.05 . In brackets you can find how many outcomes were offered on this particular event. Conclusion is obvious: most sophisticated bets like Goal Scorer or Exact Score are the worst profitable for a punter while simple offers like Asian Handicaps are the easiest to beat.

The economics of gambling explained

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 10:48 PM

1

Interesting math behind this industry, or why you really should consider matched - betting, instead regular, risky one.

SCOTTISH FINANCIAL wizard John Law is remembered, among other things, for setting up France's first central bank in the early 18th century. Like a lot of people who work in that business, he was fond of a bet.

One of his favourite tricks was to offer people odds of 10,000-1 that they could not throw six consecutive sixes with a die. It was bad value. The real odds are over 46,000-1. Law was never likely to pay out.

It is probably one of the first recorded examples of a house edge. This is the difference between the real odds and those offered to the punter. For example, the odds against any single number coming up on a roulette wheel are 36-1, but casinos pay you 35-1, giving them a 2.7 per cent safety net.

All businesses that make money from gambling focus on balancing risk with offering their customers attractive odds. Casinos have a house edge. Bookmakers have an over-round, designed to give them a margin that will guarantee a profit but ensure that their punters win a share of money.

"We actually want people to have that winning experience," Paddy Power, head of communications with the bookmaker's chain of the same name, says. "If someone comes in and keeps losing, they'll just stop coming back."

The over-round works like this: a bookie offers two punters bets on the toss of a coin. The odds on either outcome are even money, 50 per cent plus 50 per cent, or 100 per cent. This is a pure betting market, as the odds fairly reflect the probability of either outcome. But the bookie cannot make money at those odds, so he will offer something like 10-11 on both results.

This means that both punters have to stake €11 in order to win €10. So the bookmaker takes in €22, and pays out €21 (the €11 stake plus €10 in winnings) to the winner, and keeps €1 for himself.

The bookie's odds come to 104.8 per cent, that is, 52.4 per cent plus 52.4 per cent, giving him a margin of 2.4 per cent on each result. The 4.8 per cent is the over-round.

The house edge and over-round ensure that the return is a few per cent below the real risk, which means that as all eventualities play out, punters will ultimately lose more than they win.

Power's colleague, Dermot Golden, the firm's head of risk, says there is more to it than offering 10-11 on a 50/50 chance. He points out that customers know when they are not getting decent odds. "It's a very competitive market and they will go somewhere else if they don't believe that they are getting value," he says.

Golden says bookmakers have to offer proportionately more generous odds on the fancied horses that people want to back, than on the outsiders that go off at big prices. This means that even if a bookmaker's margin on a race averages 2 per cent a runner, it is likely to be 1.5 per cent on the popular runners.

Just a few horses in every race generate most of the action. When the Aidan O'Brien-trained Yeats won his historic third Ascot Gold Cup last Thursday, he beat 10 others. There was £182,550 in bets of £500 or more wagered at the course. Yeats, the favourite, attracted £141,500, the second favourite carried £40,000 and the balance went on two others.

Despite such exposure to favourites, Boylesports chief executive Daniel O'Mahony says that in some situations being generous can work in the bookmaker's favour. The firm tends to give better odds than most others on certain football bets. But it does so for a reason. "What we've found is that people start to see value on both sides, and it tends to spread the risk more evenly," he explains.

There is a perception that bookmakers spread risk by "laying off", that is, betting part of their liability on a particular result with a rival at the same or better odds. However, O'Mahony says that firms only do this rarely. "Laying off will cost you money over time; our response in that situation is to keep cutting our odds, that's how we manage the risk," he says.

Firms such as Boyles and Paddy Power employ odds compilers who work out the initial prices that each will offer on the next day's sporting events. They then advertise these each morning. If a horse or particular result begins to attract a lot of money, they will shorten the odds accordingly.

All this underpins consistently profitable businesses. Paddy Power, Ireland's biggest chain, made €72 million last year from its betting operations, a big increase on the €45 million it earned in 2006. Britain's biggest player, Ladbrokes, which has a large Irish business, made £420 million in 2007, up from £260 million the previous year. Paddy Power's clients bet €2 billion with it in 2007, and lost €279 million, or 14 per cent. The average bet placed by its customers during the year was just over €20, so each bet cost them €2.80.

So can you beat the bookie? Gamblers say the best chance of doing so is by focusing on "value". Dr Patrick Murphy, a statistician (not a gambler) with UCD's school of mathematical sciences, has a working definition of this: value is where the payback exceeds the real odds.

This seems a difficult concept to apply to a horse race, but if you had €1 on every horse trained by Aidan O'Brien and ridden by Johnny Murtagh in group one races at Ascot last week, you would have made €8.25.

This is not an accident. O'Brien trains mainly for Coolmore stud, which breeds and buys top quality horses with the intention of turning them into stallions. To do that, they have win top-level races at high-profile meetings.

It is five years since the bookies last lost at the Cheltenham festival. But every year, horses that have won previously at the course outperform expectations at the festival. Three of this year's four championship race winners had won there previously. That is not an accident either. Cheltenham is a difficult track that does not suit every horse, but brings out the best in others.

Such "rules" are not hard and fast, but another mathematician, Edward O Thorp, developed one that is. A teacher at the University of California, Los Angeles, in the 1960s, he discovered something about the casino card game, blackjack, that reversed gambling's laws. The house edge in blackjack is 5 per cent, but Thorp found that when the deck from which the casino's croupier is dealing contains a large number of high-value cards, the odds swing in the players' favour.

He came up with a system of tracking or "counting" cards, tried it, found that it worked and wrote a book, Beat the Dealer , detailing it. The casinos laughed at him, but banned him when it became clear that he was right.

Thorp moved on to the biggest casino of all, global financial markets, where he started one of the first hedge funds, and made a killing on the break up and reflotation of ATT.

John Law was not so lucky. He took over France's financial system in 1718. To raise money, he started the Mississippi Trading Company, and sold shares, inflating a huge investment bubble. It collapsed, taking the economy with it. Law, who had a murder conviction hanging over him in London, fled for the gambling dens of Europe. History does not record, but the odds are that he never had to pay out.

Best, tested bookies list coming soon !

Matched betting tutorial / Follow up bets

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 1:37 PM

1

Follow up bets

So, you have placed your initial bet and now have your free bet in your account. Now what?

You now need to place a "follow up bet" to turn the free bet into guaranteed withdrawable cash profit.

This involves placing a bet with the free bet and laying it off in betfair similar to the initial bet.

There two types of follow up bet depending on the type of free bet you have aquired. It is important to understand the concept behind the two types before going ahead with the follow up bet.

The STAKE RETURNED (SR) free bet and the STAKE NOT RETURNED (SNR) free bet.

Stake returned free bets

When you place a bet with an SR free bet and the bet is successful the actual free bet stake is returned along with the winnings, just like when placing a bet with your own money.

For example: If you place a £20 SR free bet at odds of 3.00 you will return £60 (£20 x 3). Simple.

Stake not returned free bets

When you place a bet with an SNR free bet and the bet is successful, the winnings from the free bet are returned but not the actual free bet stake.

For example: If you place a £20 SNR free bet at odds of 3.00 you will return £40 (£20 x 3 - £20).

You will find out which bookmakers offer SR and SNR free bets on the bookies list (coming soon).

Placing a follow up with a stake-returned free bet

If you have a £20 stake-returned free bet with a bookmaker, the follow up bet can be very similar to the initial bet.

Simply find a market and look for the lowest odds allowed. (Bear in mind that some bookies state in their terms and conditions that the free bet must be placed at certain minimum odds. You will also find out this information in bookies list. Let's say for example you find a match between Liverpool and Derby where the odds on Liverpool to win are 1.20.

Now, that you have found a potential market, find the same match in betfair and look for the LAY odds for this outcome. Lets say that Livepool are at odds of 1.25 in betfair. This seems reasonable so you can enter the amounts on your matched betting spreadsheet to calculate the possible outcomes.

As you can see:

If Liverpool win you make £24 in the bookie (£20 x 1.2 - remembering you keep the free bet stake) and lose the £5 liability in betfair.

If Derby win or its a draw you make your lay stake of £20 in betfair, minus betfair's 5% comission, leaving you with £19 and lose nothing in the bookmaker as it was a free bet!

Placing a follow up with a stake-not-returned free bet

Now with a SNR free bet, as you may expect, it is a little more tricky. Because the free bet stake is not returned in the winnings, we need to use higher odds so that if the free bet wins, there is more profit. Look for odds of between 3.00 and 6.00 in the bookmaker. There are two factors that affect your profit yeild when placing a stake-not-returned follow up bet:

The odds - using higer odds increases the profit you will make but also increases the amount you need in betfair to cover the liability.

The closeness of the match in betfair - as always, the closer the match in betfair, the more profit you make.

OK so to find a potential market, go to the bookmaker and look for odds of somewhere between 3.00 and 6.00. When you have found one, locate the corresponding market in betfair to see if there is a close match. Again, try and a few and use trial and error to find the closest match you can, entering the amounts in on the spreadsheet to calculate the potential outcomes, as in the example below. Lets say you find a football match between Arsenal and Barcelona where the odds on Barcelona are 4.5 in the bookmaker and the lay odds of 4.7 in betfair.

As you can see:

If Barcelona win you make £70 profit in the bookie:
(£20 x 4.5 - £20, remember you do not keep the free bet stake).You lose the £55.70 liability in betfair, leaving you with £14.40 profit.

If Arsenal win or its a draw you make your lay stake of £15.05 in betfair, minus betfair's 5% comission, which leaves you with £14.40. You lose nothing in the bookie as it was a free bet, thus making a withdrawable cash profit of £14.30 either way.

Tips:

Timing Your Bet

A few hours before a football match is the best time to do this. Any earlier and the markets at Betfair haven't really got going, any later and the markets can get quite volatile. You'll get a feel for the best time as you make more bets.

Preferred Outcome

Ideally you want to lose at the bookmaker every time. If you could do this, you could just keep piling up winnings in Betfair. If you win at the bookmaker you have to withdraw from them, then deposit it back into Betfair to cover your liability for your next bet. If you win at Betfair you'll have a balance of £0 at the bookmaker and don't have to do anything. It's not a major problem but if you have a choice of two equally good bets, and you think one is more likely to lose at the bookmaker, choose that one.

Matched betting tutorial / Initial bet

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 12:20 PM

1

The initial bet

Step 1 - Opening the necessary accounts

Select a bookmaker of your choice from the list of bookies (coming soon!). Use the link on the bookies page to ensure you qualify for the offer, open an account & deposit the required amount to obtain the freebet. I recommend getting started with Skybet so the following example uses this bookmaker (although it usually asks for scan of your ID sent to them before aproving your acocunt). Click here to open an account.

You'll also need an account with an exchange in order to LAY off the bet. For most bets we will use Betfair so click here to open an account and use promo code FTB125 when registering. By doing this you will make £25 cash back!

Step 2 - Finding a suitable market in the bookmaker

Now, in order to decide what to bet on, you need to consider the offer. To take the above example of a £20 free bet, you now need to look at any conditions of the offer such as "minimum qualifying odds". This information can be found on our bookies page. For skybet there are no minimum odds so use the lowest odds you can find.

Try this now: In skybet, on the home page click Football then Premiership matches on the left menu. Look down the list for the lowest odds. In the example below the lowest odds are 1.44.

Step 3 - The risk free bit - calculating the lay stake in betfair

Now check if the lay odds in betfair are a close enough match to lay off your bet. Find the same match in betfair:

e.g. go to Soccer Fixtures > *Date of the game* > Middlesborough v Derby > MATCH ODDS.

You will be presented with the following screen displaying the back and lay odds for each outcome. The outcome we are interested in here is Middlesborough, so look at the LAY odds.

If you see a reasonably close match, you can use this Matched Betting Calculator to calculate the necessary lay stake.

Enter: £20 for the bookmaker stake

1.44 for the bookmaker odds (as in skybet)

1.51 for the lay odds (as in the pink box in betfair.

By entering these amounts into your spreadsheet, the figured below will be calculated as shown.

The amount you need to lay in order to back up your stake.

The amount you need in betfair to cover the liability.

The acceptable loss you will incurr in order to obtain the free bet.

As you can see if Middlesboro won you would make £8.80 in skybet and lose the £10.06 liability in betfair.

If Derby won or it was a draw you would make £18.74 in betfair (your lay stake minus betfair's 5% comission and lose the £20 deposit in skybet.

This leaves you with an acceptable loss either way of £1.26

Step 4 - Placing the bets

Have a look around a few games, using trial and error to find the lowest acceptable loss.

Once you have found one that you are happy with, you can now place the bet in both the bookmaker and betfair.

In skybet, tick the Middlesborough box and press "Bet Now" and proceed to stake the £20.

In betfair, click the PINK box corresponding to middlesborough and type in the calculated lay stake in the box on the right. This will show the liability and should match the amount calculated on the spreadsheet as below.

Submit and confirm the bet. When the game has ended, the winnings will be credited to either betfair or skybet, depending on the result and you will return your total stake minus the acceptable loss as calculated.

You will also be credited with the £20 free bet.

Matched Betting Explained

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 2:06 PM

1

Earning money online from matched betting can be a very lucrative profession, if not quite a dull one. But I find it interesting and most profitable of any I have seen before. Matched betting involves visiting online bookmaker websites and opening up betting accounts. You then make a bet to qualify for another free bet or bonus, and you match this bet by making a lay at an online betting exchange. Therefore you make this first bet at the account at no risk, so you don't lose any money. Then you qualify for the free bet or bonus, which you do the exact same thing with, and in doing so you end up with the free bet or bonus as profit. After taking advantage of one free bet or bonus at the online bookmaker site, you move on to the next bookmaker. There are thousands to join and take advantage of, and so you have a consistant income of money thanks to all the bookmakers and offers available today.

Understanding The Matched Betting Theory

Probably the hardest part of matched betting is getting your head around the actual concept behind the scheme. As mentioned before, you are making bets with newly registered bookmaker accounts, which qualify you for a free bet or bonus. For example, Sky Bet usually have a promotion for all new customers; bet £20 and receive a free £20 bet. So with this bookmaker you would sign up, make a £20 bet (which you lay off at an exchange) and so you qualify for the free £20 bet. You do the same with this, make the £20 free bet (lay off at the exchange) and in the end you will magically end up with £20 profit. The hardest part is explaining an exchange, and talking about how the bets are made with no risk.

Using Betting Exchanges

There are a few betting exchanges currently available online, with the most famous one being Betfair. At an exchange you can place bets as usual, but you can also lay bets. When you lay a bet, you are taking the place of the bookmaker. You are basically betting against an event happening, and at an exchange you set your odds and take other users money. Say you lay Man Utd to win the Premiership at odds of 2, and accept a £100 bet. If Man Utd win the Premiership, you have to pay out that users stake (£100) times by the odds (2) equalling £200. This is a loss of £100. However if Man Utd don't win the Premiership, you would get to keep that persons £100 bet stake. This is how online betting exchanges work; they allow people to take the place of a bookmaker, and this means they can accept money as stakes for bets from other online users.

Hopefully now you will understand how to make a bet with no risk involved. Imagine the £20 Sky Bet promotion mentioned earlier. If you sign up to Sky and then Bet £20, you get a free £20 bet. So if you were to place the £20 bet on Arsenal to beat Liverpool in a football match at odds of 3, and then you go to the betting exchange and lay Arsenal to beat Liverpool at odds of 3 with a stake of £20. This is a no-risk bet; if Arsenal beat Liverpool you win £60 (£20 bet x odds of 3 = £60). This is a profit of £40. At the betting exchange you would have lost £60 (£20 bet x odds of 3 = £60 payout). This is a loss of £40. The £40 profit from winning the bet will cancel out the £40 loss from paying out at the exchange. On a side note, if Liverpool draw or beat Arsenal then you lose the £20 bet at Sky Bet, but you get to keep the £20 punter's stake at the betting exchange. Again, this leaves you in exactly the same position as where you started. But now you know how to make a qualifying bet at no risk, and then when you get the free £20 bet with Sky Bet you do exactly the same thing. Use the £20 free bet on an event and lay the same event at the same odds (or as near as possible) at the exchange. No matter what happens, you will end up with the free bet as a profit - so in this instance you end up with £20 profit.

The whole process of matched betting is really hard to explain, but hopefully you have a good idea of how it works now. Remember that this is the hardest part of matched betting; getting your head around the concept. Re-read this article until it finally sinks in, and hopefully you will understand exactly what goes on. It is also very hard to explain that the idea of matched betting eliminates the complete gambling aspect involved in placing bets. Obviously you have to place bets at online bookmakers, and lay bets too, and so yes this is gambling. However they do not realise that you are gambling at no risk, whatever you win is opposed by whatever you will lose at the exchange. If you research matched betting you will realise that there is no risk involved in terms of placing the bets, and aslong as you are careful you can easily bring in a few thousand pounds profit in a months time from just a few hours work.

Disadvantages/Things To Watch Out For

Obviously there are some disadvantages to matched betting too in terms of earning money online as a job. You will need to be at least 18 years old, and own a credit/debit card. You will also have to learn about the idea of matched betting before rushing in, as obviously when placing bets there is a possibility of making human mistakes. Probably the biggest disadvantage of matched betting is that you need some money to start up with, probably around £50. This is for your liability at the betting exchange, as you will need this money in your account for when you have to pay out for bets lost at the exchange. Ideally you should start with around £100 or so, and the more money you start off with the easier you will find it to continue adding to this sum. The final disadvantage of matched betting is the fact that a lot of time is spent browsing bookmaker websites, comparing odds. When you make the no risk bet, you need to find odds to back an event at the online bookmaker website, and these odds need to be as near as possible as the odds to lay that same event at the exchange. The closer the figures then the higher the profit at the end of the day, and so it is quite important to spend some time looking for matching odds.

Thankfully there are Internet forums and services which can be used, where people post arbs or close odds (where the odds to back an event are higher then then odds to lay an event). Arbing is very similar to matched betting, but instead of going after bookmaker bonuses you are simply making high value bets at odds which lock in a profit. For example, if you were able to get odds of 3 on Chelsea beating Newcastle at an online bookmaker, but the odds to lay this event are only 2 at an exchange, a profit is there for the taking. Bet £1000 on Chelsea to win at the bookmaker, and then lay Chelsea to win at the exchange with £1000 and you will make a nice profit. If Chelsea win, you get £3000 back from the bookmaker and you have to pay out £2000 at the exchange; meaning a profit of £1000. If Chelsea lose then you lose the £1000 bet but you keep the £1000 lay made at the exchange. Arbing is for more serious betters, who have a good idea about betting and shouldn't be considered until you learn how to lay your bets and matched bet for profit.

Matched Betting

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 4:07 AM

0

Matched betting is the technique of cashing out the free bet and bonus offers from bookmakers without risk by placing risk free bets. Risk free bets are calculated so that regardless of the result you break even on your initial stake in order to cash out the bonus.

Introduction :

Matched betting is the process of obtaining freebets from online bookmakers without risk and withdrawing them as profit.

This tutorial will give you an insight into matched betting with the aim that once completed you will have the necessary knowledge to place your first matched bet. The guide is designed for everyone’s needs so it does not matter whether you have experience of matched betting or are just starting out.

Meanwhile I suggest you to subscribe to Safebets news feed http://feeds.feedburner.com/safebets , to get the latest updates on how to make money with risk - free bets !

Results 23.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 12:14 PM

1

2 bets
1 winner
1 loser

Let`s continue!
Good luck!

NHL 22.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 12:01 AM

0

Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

The Flames have earned everyone's respect, including the respect of their opponent. However, asking them to win a Game 7 on the road against a very powerful San Jose club is asking an awful lot. This is San Jose's time of year, as they've gone 73-44 their last 117 April games. During the same stretch, the Flames are a money-burning 36-48 when playing in the month of April.
Flames are just 4-8 their last 12 on the road. We saw what happened last night, when the underdog Bruins battled back to force a Game 7. The home team Canadiens won by a score of 5-0. The Sharks have won the last two games here by a combined score of 6-3 and I expect home ice to prove the difference again tonight.

Taking San Jose!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.51

NBA 22.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 10:40 PM

0

Dallas Mavericks at New Orleans Hornets

Dallas will use Jason Terry and Jason Kidd to wear out and beat up Chris Paul on defense. Look for Erick Dampier to knock him to the floor a few times when he drives the lane. This should be to the Mavs advantage. Consider taking the points with Dallas.

Taking Dallas (+4)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.92

Results 21.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 11:09 AM

0

1 bet
1 winner

Let`s continue!
Good luck!

NHL 20.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 11:33 PM

0

San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames

Game 5 proved to be high-scoring with the Sharks winning by a score of 4-3. Three of the previous four games produced five combined goals or less, including a 2-0 score in the first here at Calgary. Note that Thursday's game could have also easily been lower-scoring as the teams were scoreless at the end of the first period. With the Flames facing elimination, I'm expecting another low-scoring affair this evening.

While San Jose has seen the 'under' go 5-2-2 the last nine times it was leading in a playoff series, Calgary has seen the 'under' go a perfect 4-0 the last four times it was trailing in a playoff series. The Flames have also seen the 'under' go 33-18-3 the last 54 times they played with two day's rest in between games and 57-35-14, during the same stretch, when facing an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting. Excluding games which landed right on the number, the Sharks have seen the 'under' go a highly profitable 151-98 (60.6%) the past 10+ years when coming off a game in which they scored four or more goals. I expect those numbers to improve this evening.

Taking UNDER 5!
Good luck!

Best o

ffer:
1.73

Watch this game live!

Results 20.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 10:09 PM

0

1 bet
1 loser

Let`s continue!
Good luck!

NBA 19.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 11:24 PM

0

Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets

Utah is a significantly worse team on the road than at home, especially on the defensive end. Tracy McGrady, who has never advanced passed the first round of the playoffs, is going to come out inspired. Rockets ended the season in style by crushing the Clippers by 18. That sets them up nicely here as the team went 8-1 against the spread if coming off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Jazz have lost four of its last five on the road outright, including losses at Minnesota and New Jersey.

Taking Houston (-1.5)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

2.00

No bets for 18.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 10:34 PM

0

There were no bets yesterday, due to technical problems with blogger.com and no bets for today also cause there is nothing worthy today.

Results 17.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 12:12 AM

0

5 bets
4 winners
1 loser

Let`s continue!
Good luck!

NBA 16.04.

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 11:24 PM

0

Toronto Raptors at Chicago Bulls

Chicago is 27-18 ATS after losing 4 or 5 of their 6 games and they are 20-7 ATS after allowing 100 or more points in their last game. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS their last 11 home games. Toronto is 9-25 ATS after allowing 75 or less points in their last game and they are 3-16 ATS after allowing 85 or less points in their last game. The Raptors are 9-19 ATS off a win by 15 or more points in their last game.

Taking Chicago (-6)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.90

Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Considering how the Timberwolves have never covered a game in April for coach Randy Whitman (0-9 ATS over last two seasons), we don't know why they'd start doing so here. Milwaukee posted 151 points Monday night against Chicago and Minnesota would have nowhere near the firepower necessary to contend if something like that were to occur here. Since the T'Wolves have allowed their last seven opponents to all score 100+, it very well may.

Taking Milwaukee (+7)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.90

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

Both team's will be glad to close out a disappointing season tonight. The Knicks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. In their last 18 games following a SU loss the Knicks are 5-13 ATS. The Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. In their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record they are 6-2 ATS. The Pacers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a losing SU record. The Knicks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings
between the clubs.

Taking Indiana (-6.5)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.92

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat

Miami (14-67) needs to win its finale to avoid setting the worst record in franchise history. The Heat went 15-67 in their inaugural 1988-89 season. So, yes motivation will be a factor to some extent. I also believe Atlanta will preserve most of their starters for Game 1 against Boston giving the Heat a solid chance to win in front of what few home folks may even attend this game.

Taking Miami (+5.5)!
Good luck!

Best offer:

1.76

Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs and Jazz would like to grab a win tonight, home-court advantage in round one is at stake for both squads. The Jazz will have a big assignment tonight. They haven't won in San Antonio since 1998 season, dropping 17 straight. Go with the home team. The home team in this series has won eight straight and the Spurs have covered the spread in their last 5 games against the Jazz at the AT&T Center.

Taking San Antonio (-4)!
Good luck!

Best offer: