Matched betting tutorial / Follow up bets

Posted by Pinterestgems | Posted in | Posted on 1:37 PM

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Follow up bets

So, you have placed your initial bet and now have your free bet in your account. Now what? 

You now need to place a "follow up bet" to turn the free bet into guaranteed withdrawable cash profit.
This involves placing a bet with the free bet and laying it off in betfair similar to the initial bet.
There two types of follow up bet depending on the type of free bet you have aquired. It is important to understand the concept behind the two types before going ahead with the follow up bet.

The STAKE RETURNED (SR) free bet and the STAKE NOT RETURNED (SNR) free bet.


Stake returned free bets

When you place a bet with an SR free bet and the bet is successful the actual free bet stake is returned along with the winnings, just like when placing a bet with your own money.

For example: If you place a £20 SR free bet at odds of 3.00 you will return £60 (£20 x 3). Simple.

Stake not returned free bets

When you place a bet with an SNR free bet and the bet is successful, the winnings from the free bet are returned but not the actual free bet stake.

For example: If you place a £20 SNR free bet at odds of 3.00 you will return £40 (£20 x 3 - £20).

You will find out which bookmakers offer SR and SNR free bets on the bookies list (coming soon).


Placing a follow up with a stake-returned free bet

If you have a £20 stake-returned free bet with a bookmaker, the follow up bet can be very similar to the initial bet.

Simply find a market and look for the lowest odds allowed. (Bear in mind that some bookies state in their terms and conditions that the free bet must be placed at certain minimum odds. You will also find out this information in bookies list. Let's say for example you find a match between Liverpool and Derby where the odds on Liverpool to win are 1.20.

Now, that you have found a potential market, find the same match in betfair and look for the LAY odds for this outcome. Lets say that Livepool are at odds of 1.25 in betfair. This seems reasonable so you can enter the amounts on your matched betting spreadsheet to calculate the possible outcomes.

As you can see:
If Liverpool win you make £24 in the bookie (£20 x 1.2 - remembering you keep the free bet stake) and lose the £5 liability in betfair.

If Derby win or its a draw you make your lay stake of £20 in betfair, minus betfair's 5% comission, leaving you with £19 and lose nothing in the bookmaker as it was a free bet!

Placing a follow up with a stake-not-returned free bet

Now with a SNR free bet, as you may expect, it is a little more tricky. Because the free bet stake is not returned in the winnings, we need to use higher odds so that if the free bet wins, there is more profit. Look for odds of between 3.00 and 6.00 in the bookmaker. There are two factors that affect your profit yeild when placing a stake-not-returned follow up bet:

The odds - using higer odds increases the profit you will make but also increases the amount you need in betfair to cover the liability.

The closeness of the match in betfair - as always, the closer the match in betfair, the more profit you make.

OK so to find a potential market, go to the bookmaker and look for odds of somewhere between 3.00 and 6.00. When you have found one, locate the corresponding market in betfair to see if there is a close match. Again, try and a few and use trial and error to find the closest match you can, entering the amounts in on the spreadsheet to calculate the potential outcomes, as in the example below. Lets say you find a football match between Arsenal and Barcelona where the odds on Barcelona are 4.5 in the bookmaker and the lay odds of 4.7 in betfair.

As you can see:

If Barcelona win you make £70 profit in the bookie:
(£20 x 4.5 - £20, remember you do not keep the free bet stake).You lose the £55.70 liability in betfair, leaving you with £14.40 profit.


If Arsenal win or its a draw you make your lay stake of £15.05  in betfair, minus betfair's 5% comission, which leaves you with £14.40. You lose nothing in the bookie as it was a free bet, thus making a withdrawable cash profit of £14.30 either way.


Tips:

Timing Your Bet

A few hours before a football match is the best time to do this. Any earlier and the markets at Betfair haven't really got going, any later and the markets can get quite volatile. You'll get a feel for the best time as you make more bets.

Preferred Outcome

Ideally you want to lose at the bookmaker every time. If you could do this, you could just keep piling up winnings in Betfair. If you win at the bookmaker you have to withdraw from them, then deposit it back into Betfair to cover your liability for your next bet. If you win at Betfair you'll have a balance of £0 at the bookmaker and don't have to do anything. It's not a major problem but if you have a choice of two equally good bets, and you think one is more likely to lose at the bookmaker, choose that one.

Comments Posted (1)

thank you so much for doing great job!

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